review · Analysis, Evaluation · 30–60 min · 1-5 people · low energy

Check Timing of Outcomes

This method compares the predicted timing of outcomes in the program theory with the actual dates of observed changes. It's valuable for confirming whether the intervention's effects are occurring within the expected timeframe, strengthening causal attribution.

When to use Check Timing of Outcomes

Use this method when the program theory includes specific predictions about when outcomes should occur to validate the theory's accuracy.

What it solves

Outcomes occurring later or earlier than expected, questioning the program's effectiveness.

How to run Check Timing of Outcomes, step by step

  1. Identify the predicted timing of key outcomes from the program theory (15 min).
  2. Gather data on the actual dates when these outcomes were observed (30 min).
  3. Compare the predicted and actual dates and calculate any time differences (15 min).

Materials needed

  • Program theory
  • Data on outcome dates
  • Timeline software or whiteboard
  • Markers

Facilitator tips

  • Consider potential reasons for timing discrepancies, such as external factors or implementation delays.
  • Focus on the most critical outcomes for the program's success.

Common pitfalls

  • Ignoring external influences: Account for factors that may have accelerated or delayed outcomes.
  • Overly strict interpretation of timing: Allow for some flexibility and variation.

Variations

  • Create a visual timeline to illustrate the predicted and actual outcome dates.

Running it online or hybrid

Share a timeline visually; discuss discrepancies via video conference.

What it produces

A timeline comparing predicted and actual outcome dates, and an analysis of any discrepancies.

Origin

Adapted from BetterEvaluation.org — source

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