diverge · Problem Solving · 10 min · 1-40 people · low energy

Map the Uncertainties

This activity helps participants identify and categorize uncertainties related to a specific challenge. By mapping these uncertainties, participants gain a clearer understanding of the unknowns and potential risks.

When to use Map the Uncertainties

Use this activity when a team is facing a complex challenge with many unknowns to help them identify and prioritize areas for further investigation or planning.

What it solves

Lack of clarity about the uncertainties surrounding a challenge; difficulty prioritizing areas for further investigation.

How to run Map the Uncertainties, step by step

  1. Introduce the challenge and the purpose of mapping uncertainties. (2 mins)
  2. Provide participants with the Uncertainty Map template or a blank canvas. (1 min)
  3. Ask participants to individually brainstorm uncertainties related to the challenge, responding to prompts like 'What don't I know?', 'What is unpredictable?', and 'What conflicting information have I heard?'. (5 mins)
  4. Share and discuss the identified uncertainties, placing them on the map. (2 mins)

Materials needed

  • Uncertainty Map template (downloadable)
  • Sticky notes
  • Pens/Markers

Facilitator tips

  • Encourage participants to be specific and detailed in their identification of uncertainties.
  • Use different colored sticky notes for each team member to track individual contributions.

Common pitfalls

  • Participants may focus on known issues rather than true uncertainties; encourage them to think beyond what is already known.
  • Discussions may devolve into problem-solving prematurely; remind participants to focus on mapping the unknowns.

Variations

  • Use different frameworks for categorizing uncertainties.
  • Conduct the activity in small groups followed by a whole-group share.

Running it online or hybrid

Use a virtual whiteboard like Miro or Mural to create a shared uncertainty map.

What it produces

A visual map of uncertainties related to the challenge.

Origin

Adapted from Transition Makers Toolbox — source

Build a session around Map the Uncertainties

METODIC places Map the Uncertainties inside a complete, timed session plan — agenda, worksheets, facilitator guide and slides — matched to your group and goal.

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