explore · Strategy · 120–180 min · 3-5 people · medium energy

Transition Model Canvas Workshop

The Transition Model Canvas Workshop helps teams analyze complex socio-technical transitions by mapping the incumbent and niche systems, identifying leverage points, and formulating strategies for change. It provides a structured visual framework to bridge the gap between abstract theory and practical insight, making complexity actionable.

When to use Transition Model Canvas Workshop

Use this workshop when you need to understand the dynamics of a complex system undergoing change, identify opportunities for intervention, and develop strategies to influence the transition towards a desired future state.

What it solves

Lack of shared understanding of a complex system, difficulty identifying leverage points for change, inability to translate abstract theories into practical strategies.

How to run Transition Model Canvas Workshop, step by step

  1. Setting the Scene (10-20 mins) - Briefly explain the concept of socio-technical transitions, the purpose of the Transition Model Canvas, and its connection to the Multi-Level Perspective (MLP) framework.
  2. Defining the Transition Goal (15-25 mins) - Divide participants into groups and task them with defining a SMART transition goal that includes both short-term milestones and a long-term vision.
  3. Mapping the Incumbent System (35-45 mins) - Guide groups to map the key elements (actors, institutions, infrastructure) and interactions of the incumbent system on the canvas, then identify its strengths and vulnerabilities from its own perspective.
  4. Mapping the Niche System (40-45 mins) - Facilitate the mapping of the niche system, including its focus, key elements, interactions, strengths, vulnerabilities, uncertainties, strategies, and strategic resources.
  5. Iteration and Completion (20-35 mins) - Introduce landscape factors, ask groups to revisit and revise their canvases, and facilitate peer feedback using assessment criteria.

Materials needed

  • Printed or digital Transition Model Canvas
  • Sticky notes (physical or digital)
  • Markers (physical or digital)
  • Handout with background information
  • Assessment criteria for peer feedback

Facilitator tips

  • Encourage participants to revisit and revise sections of the canvas as their understanding grows.
  • Use different colors for actors, institutions, and infrastructure to improve legibility.
  • Invite groups to raise their hands when they complete a section to provide targeted feedback and ensure everyone is on pace.

Common pitfalls

  • Groups may struggle to define a SMART transition goal - Provide clear examples and guidance on SMART criteria.
  • Participants may have difficulty identifying vulnerabilities in the incumbent system - Encourage them to consider inefficiencies, tensions, and cracks in the system.

Variations

  • Use a specific transition case study as a starting point.
  • Extend the activity to 3 hours to allow for more in-depth discussion.
  • Use the canvas as a support tool for students learning about a particular transition.

Running it online or hybrid

Use a shared digital whiteboard like Miro or Mural to collaboratively fill out the canvas. Ensure all participants have access to digital sticky notes and can easily contribute.

What it produces

A completed Transition Model Canvas that visually represents the incumbent and niche systems, their interactions, strengths, vulnerabilities, and strategies.

Origin

Adapted from Transition Makers — source

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