Facilitation · Multi-day to multi-week (depending on the number of rounds)

Delphi Method

A structured, iterative communication technique used to gather expert opinions and reach a consensus on complex or speculative topics. By utilizing anonymous responses and controlled feedback loops, it filters out the noise of group dynamics to arrive at a reliable 'group response.'

When to use Delphi Method

Effective for forecasting future trends, defining curriculum learning outcomes, or reaching agreement among stakeholders with diverse or conflicting perspectives.

How Delphi Method works

Facilitators can integrate this by using digital survey tools to collect anonymous input before a session, then presenting the aggregated data during the session to spark focused, data-driven discussion and alignment.

Phases of Delphi Method

  1. Expert Selection and Panel Formation
  2. Initial Questionnaire (Round 1)
  3. Feedback and Group Response Analysis
  4. Discussion and Answer Revision (Round 2+)
  5. Consensus Synthesis and Final Reporting

Key principles

  • Anonymity of participants to prevent groupthink
  • Iterative rounds of questioning
  • Controlled feedback loops
  • Statistical aggregation of group responses
  • Expert-driven insights

Best for

  • Strategic forecasting
  • Curriculum development
  • Policy consensus building

Considerations

  • Requires careful selection of qualified experts
  • Can be time-intensive due to multiple rounds
  • Potential for participant attrition over time

Attribution & sources

Developed by the RAND Corporation, 1950s

Primary source

Design a session with Delphi Method

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